Cricket · resolved market
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 27)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3102e0092dc2afc606e542cf0b77df0fae23a17aa671a740c0d8384d7965283b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Indiesof Bangladesh, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Bangladesh | 60c | 315$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Bangladesh | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked West Indies | 50c | 272.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed West Indies | 49c | 188.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Bangladesh | 55c | 182.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Bangladesh | 50c | 179.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked West Indies | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed West Indies | 43c | 130.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked West Indies | 46c | 126.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed West Indies | 58c | 106.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Bangladesh | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 22.7%32 W · 109 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed West Indies | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Bangladesh | 24c | 74.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed West Indies | 45c | 47.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3856…9e87backed West Indies | 53c | 47.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed West Indies | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Bangladesh | 55c | 38.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Bangladesh | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…ed94backed West Indies | 53c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…fafcbacked Bangladesh | 51c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.