Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2025-10-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70197e4b99ab90d1fdb94bfaae85eb48b31554bade5ee6b798a6e896d417c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 12,381$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 26c | 6,620$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 24c | 4,325$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.55 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b6…ba01backed Yes | 1c | 4,037$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 77c | 2,601$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 77c | 2,468$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 75c | 1,652$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,521$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 60c | 1,070$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 76c | 991.69$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 989$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.6 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 73c | 903.45$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 45c | 800$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 26c | 796.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.75 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 25c | 700.81$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.61 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…a60abacked Yes | 74c | 679.25$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 24c | 657.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6937backed Yes | 77c | 610.39$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 25c | 606.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.39 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 26c | 596.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 26c | 499.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 471.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 72c | 430$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 69c | 423.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 25c | 420.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.82 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 77c | 410.64$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 14c | 403.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 55c | 382$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 26c | 376.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 28c | 360.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 34c | 350.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 76c | 341.62$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 27c | 338.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -59%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 74c | 329.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 73c | 301.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 23c | 291.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 32c | 279.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 74c | 268.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed No | 62c | 227.29$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…cd4abacked Yes | 77c | 222.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 217.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 23c | 210$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 194.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 185.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 30c | 182.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d3d6backed Yes | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked No | 26c | 160$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…e2aebacked Yes | 74c | 159.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3aa9backed Yes | 74c | 153.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…0e38backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2194backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed Yes | 74c | 148.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7b7cbacked Yes | 32c | 143.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 30c | 134.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…7786backed Yes | 74c | 131.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes | 76c | 131.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 129.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 27c | 117$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 26c | 113.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…cb74backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 73c | 98.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 77c | 92.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked Yes | 73c | 88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…5ab8backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 74c | 86.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…3c9ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked No | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 28c | 74.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked No | 72c | 69.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…797cbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd906…428dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ab…614bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 76c | 60.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…a4ddbacked Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2025-10-14?this page
- Will New Zealand win on 2025-10-14?No won
- Will Norway vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.