Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4553c7bcfa722ad55f1f9214ed8e3abb6e120ce46a33283ec7679cfb5865c2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 19c | 15,362$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.57 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 20c | 14,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 80c | 12,515$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 20c | 9,859$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.96 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 80c | 9,577$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.41 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 21c | 8,295$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.96 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 7,826$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 79c | 7,460$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 79c | 6,136$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 20c | 5,203$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.6 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 22c | 4,469$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 21c | 3,337$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.41 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 80c | 3,100$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 79c | 2,531$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 19c | 2,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 17c | 2,400$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 2,050$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 20c | 1,839$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.06 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 5c | 1,794$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 1,767$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,725$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.24 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 17c | 1,355$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…8714backed Yes | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 8c | 1,012$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0286backed Yes | 80c | 1,001$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 20c | 1,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 21c | 999.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 80c | 990$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…2f2dbacked Yes | 80c | 816.25$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 18c | 799.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 19c | 668.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 7c | 652.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 79c | 629.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 80c | 619.68$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 79c | 610.18$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 80c | 553.03$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 79c | 506$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 19c | 499.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 19c | 397.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…98babacked Yes | 80c | 320.18$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdca…bfc4backed Yes | 79c | 306.92$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 21c | 299.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 80c | 276.58$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 18c | 259.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 79c | 253.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 79c | 252.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Yes | 79c | 240.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…c824backed No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 8c | 204$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 179.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 80c | 171$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 79c | 170.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 79c | 169.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 143.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…ff24backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 22c | 124.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 80c | 120.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 80c | 113.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 79c | 100.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…7a51backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed Yes | 80c | 99.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 80c | 96.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…6b4abacked Yes | 80c | 77.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…f0b0backed No | 21c | 73.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 78c | 68.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Yes | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…c83abacked Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Yes | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 79c | 60.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d0…79d1backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Israel win on 2025-10-11?No won
- Will Norway vs. Israel end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.