TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No19c15,362$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,917.5724647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No20c14,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8705538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes80c12,515$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.562965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9917842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No20c9,859$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.968240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes80c9,577$7,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.4113461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No21c8,295$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.967630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c7,826$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes79c7,460$5,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.642339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes79c6,136$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.531163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No20c5,203$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.612525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No22c4,469$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.183756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No21c3,337$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.4113235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes80c3,100$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6353528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes79c2,531$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No19c2,500$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47016244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No17c2,400$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c2,050$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No20c1,839$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.065238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No5c1,794$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.213826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c1,767$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes78c1,725$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.248960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No17c1,355$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3614040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4966…8714backed Yes80c1,249$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No8c1,012$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.691520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4766…0286backed Yes80c1,001$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No20c1,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.776845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No21c999.48$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8918433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes80c990$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1988949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…2f2dbacked Yes80c816.25$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No18c799.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.999618.8%18 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No19c668.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No7c652.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8428731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes79c629.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.753868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d1…12b4backed Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes80c619.68$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.941050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes79c610.18$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.143447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes80c553.03$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.613450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes79c506$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.264276.2%32 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No19c499.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9927434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…5a1bbacked No21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed Yes79c400$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No19c397.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8620322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes80c325$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513258.3%77 W · 55 L-0.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcbf…98babacked Yes80c320.18$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdca…bfc4backed Yes79c306.92$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No21c299.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9610033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes80c276.58$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.585950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No18c259.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6921140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes79c253.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes79c252.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.941668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed Yes79c240.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.512665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa402…c824backed No22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No8c204$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5934630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No21c179.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes80c171$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes79c170.89$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.89757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes79c169.23$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.233151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…07f1backed Yes80c162.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.514252.1%74 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c143.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6739621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed Yes79c140$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes79c126.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No22c124.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8116925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes80c120.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes80c113.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.733148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes80c101.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes79c100.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6310130.7%31 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc151…7a51backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed Yes80c99.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes80c96.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…6b4abacked Yes80c77.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…f0b0backed No21c73.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.754156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes78c68.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad12…5325backed Yes80c68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63e…c83abacked Yes79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Yes80c62.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.563100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56250%31 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57744.2%34 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes79c60.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d0…79d1backed Yes79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7655…4d7abacked Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.