NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa21e5fbbbe049e3337ba9b4a4dd5aa15e6b6ed8e7c71344c776364a73e81586a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Chiefs, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,416,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,516,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,416,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Bills | 62c | 175,628$108,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,990.54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Chiefs | 34c | 118,282$40,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,694.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Bills | 79c | 48,562$38,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,429.1 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bills | 63c | 46,037$28,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100.17 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bills | 68c | 43,080$29,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,792.77 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Chiefs | 47c | 31,468$14,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,663.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Chiefs | 20c | 29,211$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.34 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Chiefs | 34c | 25,010$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.59 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Chiefs | 42c | 25,000$10,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,621.19 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…8b1ebacked Chiefs | 40c | 20,099$8,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,088.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Chiefs | 39c | 17,465$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.93 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…f699backed Chiefs | 30c | 17,040$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Chiefs | 43c | 16,264$6,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chiefs | 21c | 15,615$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.42 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Bills | 55c | 15,326$8,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,824.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bills | 55c | 14,690$8,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.43 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Bills | 57c | 14,200$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Chiefs | 1c | 12,511$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bills | 65c | 12,341$7,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.71 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Bills | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Chiefs | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Chiefs | 29c | 9,796$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Chiefs | 41c | 9,210$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Chiefs | 3c | 9,183$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.64 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Bills | 80c | 8,184$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.78 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bills | 55c | 8,019$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.27 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bills | 56c | 7,944$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.49 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bills | 55c | 7,678$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.69 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Bills | 63c | 7,569$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.91 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Chiefs | 45c | 6,893$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.73 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Chiefs | 20c | 6,334$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Chiefs | 6c | 6,253$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.24 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Chiefs | 36c | 6,093$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…2fa6backed Chiefs | 44c | 5,789$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Chiefs | 33c | 5,700$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed Bills | 59c | 5,455$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…a028backed Chiefs | 28c | 5,333$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…34aabacked Chiefs | 48c | 5,299$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…9e01backed Chiefs | 41c | 5,019$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Chiefs | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…ed0bbacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…b702backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…92b2backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Bills | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…2650backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…3c57backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…9c2fbacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Chiefs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a1e9backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Bills | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…8e55backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2832…3d70backed Chiefs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68e0backed Chiefs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476f…1b29backed Chiefs | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…6912backed Bills | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…99dabacked Bills | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…71f9backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…c65dbacked Bills | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5986backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…54f8backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…e39abacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…35a7backed Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Chiefs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…23d7backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…ede1backed Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Chiefs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…ee2dbacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…b20ebacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8a…845abacked Bills | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.