NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a77b6671bc4ae3253f2922eb15c854d80dce3c34c3f2767de08452b2a216713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf719…eae4backed Blackhawks | 30c | 10,024$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…c9c2backed Kings | 70c | 10,005$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…f0aebacked Kings | 70c | 9,998$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…f2f5backed Blackhawks | 30c | 9,979$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks | 7c | 2,375$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks | 29c | 1,939$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.44 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…b01fbacked Kings | 71c | 1,690$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 70c | 1,500$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed Kings | 70c | 1,490$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,488$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks | 30c | 1,356$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.8 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 31c | 999.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Blackhawks | 29c | 999.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kings | 71c | 771.99$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kings | 70c | 755.95$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 70c | 728$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks | 29c | 599.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Kings | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 508.45$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blackhawks | 29c | 501.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 12c | 299.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Kings | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Kings | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Blackhawks | 29c | 222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Kings | 70c | 207.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Kings | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Kings | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 30c | 140.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Kings | 71c | 140.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccbe…c65dbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 138.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Blackhawks | 9c | 137.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Blackhawks | 30c | 132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Blackhawks | 16c | 126.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Blackhawks | 29c | 109.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…e028backed Blackhawks | 31c | 106.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Kings | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Kings | 71c | 103.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 29c | 102.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…bc82backed Kings | 71c | 100.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kings | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Kings | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Blackhawks | 16c | 84.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Blackhawks | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…ae78backed Blackhawks | 30c | 81.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Kings | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Kings | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…4726backed Blackhawks | 30c | 64.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Kings | 71c | 62.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Kings | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Kings | 71c | 54.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…1beabacked Kings | 71c | 54.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Blackhawks | 22c | 53.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Kings | 70c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…1f6fbacked Kings | 71c | 50.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…983bbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 50.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Blackhawks | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…ae93backed Kings | 71c | 49.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Kings | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8e8bbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 39.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kings | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…cbb5backed Kings | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Kings | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 70c | 33.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…736cbacked Kings | 71c | 33.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Kings | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…b85ebacked Kings | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…6ff1backed Kings | 71c | 29.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…d1ddbacked Kings | 71c | 29.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Kings | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…77e3backed Kings | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Kings | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Kings | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Kings | 71c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…24dabacked Kings | 71c | 18.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kings | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.