NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6ba017355f99852553a629114e4a07c169eb5aec6ee3629a6b1fcc151821e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Rangers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Rangers | 2c | 14,723$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Rangers | 40c | 4,697$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.85 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rangers | 22c | 4,168$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.45 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Capitals | 64c | 3,862$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Rangers | 15c | 3,271$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.81 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 17c | 2,564$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.89 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers | 36c | 2,352$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.6 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Rangers | 5c | 1,683$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Rangers | 10c | 1,497$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rangers | 38c | 1,404$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.57 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Capitals | 62c | 1,232$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.21 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Capitals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Capitals | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 40c | 775.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Rangers | 6c | 758.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Capitals | 66c | 756.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Capitals | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 40c | 642.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.78 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Capitals | 62c | 502.62$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 61c | 501.68$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Capitals | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Rangers | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 38c | 485.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Capitals | 64c | 468.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 17c | 435.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Rangers | 42c | 423.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers | 40c | 401.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers | 38c | 387.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 45c | 382.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…9860backed Rangers | 8c | 379.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Rangers | 3c | 375$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Rangers | 42c | 365.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rangers | 8c | 354$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Rangers | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Capitals | 69c | 337.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Capitals | 62c | 330.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers | 37c | 321$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rangers | 38c | 305.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Capitals | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Capitals | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Capitals | 62c | 265$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Capitals | 59c | 245$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 45c | 236.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rangers | 9c | 218.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf925…79a2backed Rangers | 14c | 207.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…42a0backed Capitals | 63c | 179.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Rangers | 34c | 174.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…0153backed Capitals | 60c | 166.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…8679backed Capitals | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…a5d7backed Rangers | 40c | 166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…2de1backed Rangers | 40c | 166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…af86backed Capitals | 59c | 161$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Capitals | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…36b0backed Rangers | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…e142backed Rangers | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…03b7backed Capitals | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…6f2bbacked Capitals | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2453backed Capitals | 60c | 159$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…1df4backed Rangers | 40c | 159$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Rangers | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Capitals | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Capitals | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…7666backed Rangers | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…6eb3backed Capitals | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Capitals | 62c | 149.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 62c | 144.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…4970backed Capitals | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Capitals | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Capitals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rangers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Capitals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Rangers | 39c | 93.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rangers | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Capitals | 62c | 91.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…ec57backed Rangers | 57c | 91.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Rangers | 20c | 91.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Capitals | 61c | 89.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rangers | 21c | 87.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…52f1backed Rangers | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Capitals | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 59c | 83.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2ea8backed Rangers | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Capitals | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…f476backed Rangers | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…fddabacked Rangers | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rangers | 39c | 77.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Capitals | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…b077backed Rangers | 40c | 74.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Rangers | 51c | 73.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Rangers | 55c | 72.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb312…f270backed Capitals | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…33b7backed Capitals | 58c | 67.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.