TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd122…4e82backed No62c120,200$74,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,6972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+230.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac3…f3b0backed Yes38c120,100$45,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,65610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes51c34,504$17,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,545.612037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No49c20,002$9,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2019754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c10,519$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.0379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No52c9,337$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.5114659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes46c9,282$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.333545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes48c7,149$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.9617234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No57c7,058$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.7614732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No52c5,500$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.9832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c3,899$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.0879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No59c3,016$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes51c2,555$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.2913547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Yes22c2,472$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes48c2,084$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.412138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9709148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…9717backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed No48c2,000$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.251566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c1,836$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.3683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No50c1,811$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.224566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No53c1,323$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.2734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes51c1,200$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.7190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No52c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No51c972.96$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Yes22c915.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes48c850$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes44c800$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3542040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked No53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No52c695.74$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.965747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf7…0f82backed Yes49c621.02$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes41c616.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes47c612.94$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c507.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.929044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa19…9325backed Yes75c505$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No48c462.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5740135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No64c460.39$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c459.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No47c424.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7617447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Yes49c411.04$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes24c406.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.016737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes50c396.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3619336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c372.06$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes41c345.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes49c306$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes33c257.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes48c246.21$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.182619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba1…6d31backed No47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c7…2954backed Yes53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05eb…fe56backed Yes53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes39c207.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa068…6b89backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01f8…21f8backed Yes35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes53c190.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes48c162.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.941464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.22744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0c…1330backed No49c156.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x103d…770ebacked No50c146$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Yes51c137.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.353644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c97…7bf8backed No49c135.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.49756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb92…a880backed Yes52c122.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4be…98fbbacked No50c119.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a6…b686backed Yes41c114.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff24…a20bbacked Yes51c113.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x745d…bcf3backed No50c111.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0cd…1b3ebacked No49c110.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cb…8d1ebacked No50c108.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f2…f805backed No48c107.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…c129backed No49c106.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…5a54backed No48c106.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2f…c69ebacked No48c106.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1fb…5a80backed Yes52c106.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x982d…753abacked No49c104.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c4…dc01backed Yes52c104.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa30a…37afbacked Yes53c103.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e9…f177backed Yes53c102.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9169…a4c0backed Yes53c102.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50eb…6328backed Yes52c102.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea29…0b0bbacked Yes53c102.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes48c102.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f5…67e0backed Yes53c100.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd091…d992backed Yes53c100.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621d…2e43backed No48c100.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.