Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf140e358b2c9f8f78cd98d38859a5bc8f16ad2f5e5edfa358d050654a6a3d09c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa068…6b89backed No | 55c | 92,000$50,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…a53cbacked Yes | 45c | 92,000$41,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…f2f5backed Yes | 29c | 10,021$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…c9c2backed No | 71c | 10,019$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 52c | 7,640$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 59c | 6,645$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.88 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 26c | 2,088$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 28c | 1,740$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.47 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 1,606$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.22 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked No | 71c | 1,403$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,078$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Yes | 34c | 920.59$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 4c | 731.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.98 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 32c | 638.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 66c | 620.59$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed No | 74c | 544.05$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa120…bc6dbacked No | 73c | 510.96$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 29c | 480$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…e10cbacked Yes | 30c | 424.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 419.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 5c | 379.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…876cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 33c | 301.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…8028backed No | 72c | 276.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…b041backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 221.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 36c | 209.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 71c | 195.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 161.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…12c1backed Yes | 28c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 39c | 132.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…b686backed Yes | 33c | 120.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…4bccbacked Yes | 28c | 116$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 47c | 102.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 30c | 100.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked No | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Yes | 28c | 98.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 42c | 95.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…7521backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 83.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…7fd4backed Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…28dbbacked No | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 59c | 74.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…5281backed Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed No | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…740fbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c41…05c7backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8416backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3ab2backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…809ebacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…d437backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…dcc3backed No | 73c | 29.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x275d…9bb7backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…5d37backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed No | 70c | 24.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…562bbacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked No | 48c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…144cbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…1440backed No | 73c | 19.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…4d70backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.