TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Senators13c16,513$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Jets61c9,843$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Senators39c8,745$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.4922842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d2…1c50backed Jets60c6,182$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Senators41c4,486$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.7492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jets58c4,250$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.1110451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators13c3,348$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.291,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators41c2,876$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.781,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators9c2,228$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Senators42c2,032$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.4129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Senators19c1,895$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.6314844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets54c1,886$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.5134845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jets60c1,835$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8423761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Senators3c1,801$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Senators41c1,698$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators25c1,567$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.011,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…4942backed Senators41c1,340$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8116…3e1ebacked Senators43c1,288$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c3…daecbacked Senators46c1,203$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7da…deb7backed Jets56c1,110$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Senators41c1,108$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.921450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators45c1,072$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.671,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Senators10c1,062$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.296940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd691…c935backed Senators41c1,048$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…a557backed Jets55c1,001$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.453237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets59c1,000$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Senators45c999.94$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators45c967.05$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Jets58c964.29$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2911051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Senators39c960$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.415663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Senators45c906.09$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.744235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Senators46c869.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc52d…a809backed Jets59c863.78$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets54c807.43$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Senators7c801$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.073839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e92…324dbacked Jets59c779.66$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8205…7dfabacked Jets59c745.21$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb50…10d7backed Senators42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Senators44c710$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators41c689.97$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Jets55c634.37$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.372853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Jets61c500.72$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.288347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Senators7c500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Jets62c464.31$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.242948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Senators42c459.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.093452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb174…d896backed Senators46c449.43$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.13520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Jets56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.435347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Jets57c424.34$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.94555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d51…a3cbbacked Jets55c412.73$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3315…937dbacked Jets59c372.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Jets60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Jets60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Jets61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8713457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Jets54c317.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Senators40c310$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.052646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Senators44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.994450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Senators46c299.11$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Senators6c293.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jets55c271.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.219459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Senators41c263.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.114548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0127…7addbacked Senators39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e87…a5b0backed Jets55c247.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.241968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked Jets55c242.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.912166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Senators42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Jets56c235.41$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x143b…b2b4backed Senators46c227.02$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Senators46c226.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.772055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Senators46c225.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce7…baa8backed Jets55c224.36$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Jets56c224.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.151968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators26c221.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Senators46c220.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.622240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Jets62c220$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Jets56c208.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Senators44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Senators42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2955…91f4backed Jets56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jets58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8450857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Senators46c184.72$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.972055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets32c181$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.081,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcf…812fbacked Jets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af6…7f74backed Senators46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9315456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Jets61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9312859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f96…3839backed Senators45c161.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e0…c6c4backed Jets56c156.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.811553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators40c153.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe22f…0f5dbacked Senators39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Jets61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ace…c22dbacked Jets55c148.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.291442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked Senators46c146.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…e263backed Jets56c138.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe851…d33bbacked Senators45c137.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Senators42c136.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.192433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets55c134.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5438040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Jets60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Jets57c120.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Jets56c119.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.512250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Senators41c119.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.