MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5d9266732159bea4e97c15db00a897f3b310e7b3f4fc640352736a44c14f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Nationals | 29c | 141,710$41,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,623.64 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 71c | 103,878$73,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,753.54 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers | 18c | 10,712$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.2 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Dodgers | 71c | 10,037$7,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.18 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…f2f5backed Nationals | 30c | 9,997$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…eae4backed Dodgers | 70c | 9,997$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 43c | 7,167$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.75 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Dodgers | 0c | 6,155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 61c | 6,083$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 29c | 5,836$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.92 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 71c | 5,378$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 49c | 4,798$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 42c | 4,733$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 53c | 4,334$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.04 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers | 71c | 3,762$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.37 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Dodgers | 71c | 3,551$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.87 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Nationals | 50c | 3,303$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.72 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 72c | 2,849$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.18 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 30c | 1,983$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.3 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…4604backed Nationals | 30c | 1,933$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 47c | 1,823$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 2c | 1,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 70c | 1,722$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.38 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 48c | 1,650$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.27 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 44c | 1,649$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.67 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2192…b0cabacked Nationals | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 25c | 1,550$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.21 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed Nationals | 30c | 1,460$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Dodgers | 70c | 1,456$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers | 3c | 1,411$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals | 79c | 1,375$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Nationals | 39c | 1,367$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.63 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Nationals | 70c | 1,361$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.68 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 4c | 1,348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 31c | 1,293$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.57 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 31c | 1,274$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…69b2backed Dodgers | 71c | 1,250$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers | 16c | 1,222$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers | 54c | 1,180$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.19 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4460…78cebacked Dodgers | 71c | 1,165$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 69c | 1,135$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 72c | 1,075$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Nationals | 29c | 999.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…d267backed Dodgers | 70c | 985$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…0ebcbacked Dodgers | 70c | 948$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 22c | 880$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 74c | 873$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…ae80backed Dodgers | 70c | 854$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 80c | 833.75$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers | 65c | 790$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers | 51c | 788.42$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Dodgers | 32c | 783.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…f649backed Dodgers | 70c | 746$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Dodgers | 48c | 709.15$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Nationals | 56c | 687.91$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 70c | 553.97$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.78 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Dodgers | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nationals | 52c | 519.83$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Dodgers | 50c | 483.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Dodgers | 46c | 450.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 30c | 433$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.1 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nationals | 29c | 425.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Dodgers | 71c | 422.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 35c | 383.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 42c | 345.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Dodgers | 70c | 333.16$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 71c | 330$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Nationals | 55c | 323.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 70c | 297.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 71c | 281.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 30c | 279$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Dodgers | 71c | 237$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Nationals | 31c | 219.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…4bcabacked Dodgers | 42c | 215.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 37c | 215.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Dodgers | 41c | 212.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 48c | 212.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Dodgers | 72c | 208.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Dodgers | 48c | 206.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 46c | 195.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Dodgers | 71c | 184.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Nationals | 25c | 182.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 51c | 173.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers | 20c | 173.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…9864backed Nationals | 29c | 172.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…b76abacked Nationals | 29c | 169.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Dodgers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…e215backed Nationals | 29c | 165.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Dodgers | 49c | 162.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Nationals | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Nationals | 30c | 150.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Dodgers | 71c | 149.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Dodgers | 71c | 145.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.