NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6d9680d386a0903be175de9c3bd16cf93249ef7593089b7d97150c81add097

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Heat, Cavaliers
Resolved: Apr 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $888,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,066,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888,504 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6790…5e06backed Heat	15c	157,998$23,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,559.86	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Cavaliers	78c	53,617$41,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,802.9	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Heat	15c	51,162$7,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,541.57	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Heat	23c	34,046$7,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,858.33	122	32%39 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Heat	15c	27,904$4,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,095.58	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Heat	22c	26,611$5,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,834.96	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Heat	16c	21,611$3,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,541.14	129	38%49 W · 80 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Heat	22c	21,479$4,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,725.28	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Heat	15c	17,185$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,654.73	283	41.7%118 W · 165 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Heat	15c	14,461$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.62	377	34%128 W · 249 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Heat	1c	12,743$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.32	232	37.1%86 W · 146 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Heat	16c	10,473$1,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,675.71	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…cae3backed Heat	15c	9,992$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Heat	15c	9,154$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.06	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat	0c	8,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	335	0%0 W · 335 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Heat	20c	7,714$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.59	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Heat	16c	6,727$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.32	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Heat	20c	6,029$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Heat	15c	5,319$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.92	191	49.7%95 W · 96 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers	79c	5,016$3,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054	298	58.7%175 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cavaliers	80c	5,013$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.01	68	73.5%50 W · 18 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Heat	8c	4,786$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.49	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Heat	1c	4,500$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Heat	1c	3,606$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.31	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…337dbacked Heat	6c	3,365$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-54%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038d…d484backed Heat	15c	3,211$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.71	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Cavaliers	78c	3,188$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.14	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	+6.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f9…af6ebacked Heat	1c	3,150$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.15	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	+80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a0…f8aabacked Heat	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x126b…a516backed Heat	4c	2,396$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.83	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63a6…f308backed Heat	15c	2,210$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Cavaliers	80c	2,100$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Heat	15c	2,067$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.42	706	40.8%288 W · 418 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Heat	3c	2,004$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.73	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa5…f7b9backed Heat	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Heat	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Heat	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee63…07a4backed Heat	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Heat	1c	1,463$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7dd…3696backed Heat	24c	1,458$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.85	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+109.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Heat	18c	1,365$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.99	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+52.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a38…c0e6backed Heat	22c	1,359$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed Heat	15c	1,258$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Heat	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Heat	22c	1,175$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.59	236	46.6%110 W · 126 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Heat	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	345	24.3%84 W · 261 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	321	30.2%97 W · 224 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Heat	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Heat	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Heat	3c	979.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Cavaliers	76c	833.85$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.12	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Heat	16c	812.5$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	235	39.1%92 W · 143 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Heat	2c	700$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Heat	15c	699.98$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Heat	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Heat	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Heat	15c	666$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat	4c	664.11$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	380	27.1%103 W · 277 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Heat	17c	574.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	389	42.9%167 W · 222 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Cavaliers	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Heat	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	306	41.8%128 W · 178 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Heat	13c	487.32$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…3946backed Heat	2c	450.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41e2…9d50backed Heat	16c	441.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-69%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Heat	16c	424.19$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.84	613	45.5%279 W · 334 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Heat	26c	379.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.64	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Cavaliers	77c	355.89$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.74	129	55%71 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Heat	5c	350$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Cavaliers	80c	347.73$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.55	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat	5c	336.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	139	20.1%28 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Heat	16c	329.59$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Heat	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	235	55.3%130 W · 105 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Heat	11c	301.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Heat	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	302	43.7%132 W · 170 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Heat	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x235a…2e57backed Heat	8c	281.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.23	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Heat	14c	259.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…092dbacked Heat	15c	258.47$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bd8…14dcbacked Heat	17c	251.43$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.94	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Heat	9c	219.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Heat	16c	206.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked Heat	16c	187.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…75c3backed Heat	15c	187.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bd…ae77backed Heat	6c	175$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbb…c961backed Heat	19c	175$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21bb…114bbacked Heat	15c	174.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…1f6fbacked Heat	15c	167.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.15	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3f…1520backed Heat	15c	167$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	40cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Heat	13c	166.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	333	48.9%163 W · 170 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…c644backed Heat	10c	163.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860b…f6e9backed Heat	15c	156.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	44cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat	7c	151.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d7…d545backed Heat	15c	146.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b7…c9b5backed Cavaliers	76c	145.71$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Heat	15c	145$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1960…83c1backed Heat	13c	140.74$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5801…1b79backed Heat	15c	137.14$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b51…aacebacked Heat	17c	135$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Heat	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	347	47%163 W · 184 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market