MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13cdc02fe3dcdae4dc1e0452b8c9f6a9de42935a8c05aef73f2d0678d5db17d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 47c | 10,218$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.91 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 23c | 8,689$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Red Sox | 51c | 7,927$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.87 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 7,862$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 48c | 7,029$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.17 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 6,213$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.06 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 3c | 3,470$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Red Sox | 53c | 3,126$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 55c | 2,095$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 8c | 2,003$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 68c | 2,002$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.43 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,900$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.94 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.84 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Pirates | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.15 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Red Sox | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Pirates | 48c | 944.79$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.29 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 46c | 874.65$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 49c | 748.85$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 53c | 670$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Red Sox | 52c | 644$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Pirates | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 59c | 600$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 48c | 598$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 52c | 540.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 48c | 540.29$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Red Sox | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 49c | 499.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 48c | 477.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.61 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Pirates | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…0379backed Red Sox | 53c | 458.21$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 58c | 415$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Red Sox | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 55c | 359$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 41c | 277.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox | 52c | 276.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Pirates | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox | 25c | 238.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…9d81backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…9989backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…9e00backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b1…e717backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…e8efbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…ee94backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…8eb1backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…f634backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cd01backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…776ebacked Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb919…6d00backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdd…d3c6backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…4076backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…7c7fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d8…d31bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3f56backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…ef34backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…5506backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Red Soxthis page
- Pirates vs. Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Pirates (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.