Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d50d7a6bbda8317209d2ee6fd680ed183c23ac3432658f25c0198859988d988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 8c | 36,281$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 7c | 8,807$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 3c | 5,021$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…c139backed Yes | 1c | 4,795$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 37c | 4,028$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,824$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 2,800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 1,398$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…ad6cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,396$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0671…d1c9backed Yes | 16c | 1,385$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 32c | 1,383$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 74c | 1,371$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,042$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 59c | 1,000$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 65c | 956.28$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 899.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 104 | 1%1 W · 103 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 26c | 877.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 853.89$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 28c | 794.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…b822backed Yes | 37c | 786.75$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 31c | 715.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 18c | 649.65$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 33c | 575$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 69c | 558.95$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 35c | 538.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 22c | 510.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Yes | 30c | 507.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…aadcbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 30c | 402.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…12adbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…21a1backed Yes | 34c | 368.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 78c | 362.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 33c | 332.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…6419backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…8fc2backed Yes | 31c | 282$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 14c | 278.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 12c | 269.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 21c | 226$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…06b0backed Yes | 28c | 222.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 208.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 199.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 8c | 198.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed Yes | 14c | 176.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 28c | 164.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Yes | 32c | 157.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…dd70backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 66c | 120.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…f9cebacked Yes | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…ed40backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe701…942ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…df3bbacked No | 70c | 99.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed No | 73c | 89.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…02f5backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 67.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…5861backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1c…6435backed Yes | 28c | 52.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +1,501.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…d693backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 46.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…9a47backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 28c | 44.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 34c | 43.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…06a3backed Yes | 34c | 40.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…42acbacked No | 68c | 37.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…db18backed Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 65c | 35.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed No | 66c | 35.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf758…ecb8backed No | 68c | 34.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…3d8dbacked Yes | 34c | 32.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…a10bbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…9d04backed No | 73c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…f1c6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…d6a0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…dcc1backed No | 70c | 23.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 65% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.