MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92befd66954925d0782418156e1e3cc91c5ad6d24064261538bb151560f593f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Padres | 53c | 61,282$32,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,011.28 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 58c | 33,464$19,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,409 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 58c | 18,922$10,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,975 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Reds | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 7c | 7,748$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 33c | 7,533$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Reds | 76c | 5,000$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 17c | 4,833$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 41c | 4,596$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 41c | 2,827$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.09 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 57c | 2,703$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 24c | 2,545$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.9 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 59c | 2,526$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 40c | 2,391$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 41c | 2,200$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…4fcdbacked Padres | 41c | 1,976$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 41c | 1,734$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.05 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Padres | 33c | 1,417$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Padres | 42c | 1,257$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 41c | 1,102$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.42 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…ae80backed Reds | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…077cbacked Padres | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…7b65backed Reds | 59c | 976$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 56c | 897.46$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 70c | 896.19$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.48 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 7c | 888$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 4c | 876.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Reds | 59c | 850.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Reds | 7c | 715.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Reds | 58c | 689.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 40c | 685.68$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 7c | 666.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Reds | 80c | 628.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Reds | 60c | 504.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 38c | 455$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Reds | 62c | 403.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.19 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 16c | 384.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 43c | 377.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Reds | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Reds | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 56c | 324.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 40c | 308$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 14c | 255$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Padres | 42c | 253.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 41c | 243$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Padres | 31c | 224.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 41c | 221.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 51c | 221.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Padres | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 17c | 169.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 38c | 167.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Reds | 59c | 138.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 36c | 124$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 57c | 122.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Reds | 66c | 120.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Reds | 23c | 119.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 58c | 119.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Padres | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Reds | 63c | 104.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Reds | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Reds | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Reds | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Padres | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…ee68backed Reds | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 52c | 82.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Padres | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 41c | 77.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Reds | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Reds | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Reds | 58c | 60.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Reds | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…4863backed Reds | 78c | 59.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Reds | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…82a8backed Reds | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Padres | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Padres | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Padres | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Reds | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Reds | 71c | 42.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Padres | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Reds | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Padres | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Reds | 59c | 35.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Reds | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Reds | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Reds | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…1098backed Reds | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.