MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4e23563397938c48bb1d3049f7f8c8f190e182beb66fda7dcd73166a4c7c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cubs | 50c | 436,919$218,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,263.15 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 50c | 151,140$75,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,564.45 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Astros | 49c | 88,888$43,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,555.11 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Cubs | 51c | 79,826$40,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,141.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 50c | 71,905$35,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,604.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 51c | 59,932$30,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,402.17 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 46c | 23,182$10,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,572.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Astros | 50c | 21,214$10,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,606.93 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 50c | 14,028$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 49c | 7,300$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Cubs | 50c | 5,210$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Astros | 51c | 4,282$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Cubs | 60c | 3,349$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.97 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Cubs | 48c | 2,899$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 51c | 2,757$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.07 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 50c | 2,433$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 1c | 2,185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Astros | 44c | 2,066$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.5 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…9378backed Cubs | 48c | 2,041$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 80c | 1,867$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Cubs | 57c | 1,775$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.23 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Astros | 52c | 1,743$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.08 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 47c | 1,285$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.75 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Astros | 48c | 1,056$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.71 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…0ebcbacked Astros | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…c2a5backed Astros | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 56c | 948.33$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.06 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 1c | 930$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 17c | 814.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Astros | 52c | 806.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 52c | 695$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Astros | 44c | 693.18$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Astros | 4c | 631.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Astros | 51c | 558$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.58 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 3c | 542.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Astros | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Astros | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Astros | 2c | 460.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Astros | 67c | 438.14$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.01 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 51c | 429.41$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Astros | 36c | 385.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Cubs | 62c | 382.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Cubs | 44c | 350$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Astros | 5c | 338$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 28c | 321.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 50c | 295.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked Cubs | 52c | 273.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 71c | 259.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Astros | 55c | 252$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Astros | 51c | 237.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Astros | 60c | 227$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…0377backed Astros | 52c | 216.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Cubs | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked Astros | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 40c | 180.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 21c | 167.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 67c | 133.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Astros | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Astros | 51c | 127$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Astros | 50c | 116.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 42c | 113.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 52c | 111.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 52c | 110.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 40c | 100.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Cubs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Astros | 44c | 79.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Astros | 45c | 73.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Cubs | 48c | 70.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 65c | 69.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Astros | 24c | 58.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Astros | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Cubs | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Cubs | 50c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.8wins | +0.36per pick | 45cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Astros | 52c | 56.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Astros | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Astros | 42c | 54.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Cubs | 60c | 53.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Astros | 45c | 52.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.