MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42aae3f5f395985698656f4f5a3ff950fb11e58980fc2960b016cd2b2c495ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 38c | 10,022$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,926$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.46 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 4,921$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 4,920$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 61c | 3,675$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.02 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Marlins | 65c | 3,008$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.04 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 42c | 2,200$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Marlins | 34c | 2,166$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 49c | 2,094$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,004$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,990$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,674$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 41c | 1,588$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.62 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,533$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.14 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 10c | 1,488$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,282$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,247$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 39c | 1,013$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Marlins | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 852.47$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Marlins | 53c | 798.68$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.9 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 718.91$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.59 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 680.02$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 39c | 639.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 37c | 635$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.05 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 620$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Marlins | 69c | 583.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 549.87$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Marlins | 7c | 510.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.52 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Marlins | 50c | 504.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 40c | 501.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.39 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 500.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 25c | 479.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.65 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 434.08$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 431.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.57 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 5c | 424.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 407.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Marlins | 44c | 405.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 49c | 390$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 4c | 383.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.84 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Marlins | 12c | 336.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.09 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Marlins | 41c | 330.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.22 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 12c | 328.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Marlins | 31c | 325.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 40c | 308$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f924backed Marlins | 61c | 273.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 28c | 272$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Marlins | 73c | 267.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 64c | 246.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 44c | 243.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 42c | 238.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 51c | 237.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 43c | 234.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Marlins | 62c | 231.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 226.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 41c | 219.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 216.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Marlins | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Marlins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 189.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Marlins | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 171.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 170.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Marlins | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 47c | 141.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Marlins | 12c | 124.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Marlins | 43c | 114.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 100.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Marlins | 53c | 77.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Marlins | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 75.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 39c | 74.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…8ae0backed Marlins | 43c | 69.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 40c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Marlins | 60c | 67.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 64.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 52c | 60.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 59.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…fd72backed Marlins | 54c | 57.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Marlins | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Marlins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Marlins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…2776backed Marlins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…90f6backed Marlins | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.