TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies42c26,745$11,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,436.21,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants49c20,662$10,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,106.4348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies58c17,950$10,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,604.5577153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants44c16,624$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.531,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants65c13,303$8,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,709.0410,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c6,200$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.8544945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants64c5,288$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.831,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350f…7224backed San Francisco Giants0c5,020$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813958.3%81 W · 58 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c4,732$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants52c4,552$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.622,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies29c3,877$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.8312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Philadelphia Phillies39c3,804$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.6516947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants20c2,780$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3152347.2%247 W · 276 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Philadelphia Phillies57c2,575$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.251,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants59c2,220$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.952,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies47c2,199$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.661,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8202,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies57c1,932$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.434,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Philadelphia Phillies25c1,776$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33213655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants41c1,724$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.7627751.6%143 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies57c1,616$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.986,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked San Francisco Giants1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Francisco Giants66c1,452$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.0930647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Philadelphia Phillies50c1,403$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.9540753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed San Francisco Giants41c1,385$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8517452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants25c1,282$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.916,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants56c1,273$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.824,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants57c1,227$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.368,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Philadelphia Phillies58c1,200$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6218958.7%111 W · 78 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies43c1,156$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7114243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies20c1,133$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.981,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked San Francisco Giants3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed San Francisco Giants45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029649.7%147 W · 149 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked San Francisco Giants43c1,105$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47518151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed San Francisco Giants2c1,063$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9715037.3%56 W · 94 L-15.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies72c1,016$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.221,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed San Francisco Giants15c986.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7237143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants42c938.01$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.651,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Philadelphia Phillies14c857.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.144528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants8c634$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.728762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed San Francisco Giants42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25222548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.221,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants9c591.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.721,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies23c551.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.112,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies45c521.43$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5821449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Philadelphia Phillies59c511.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.420350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants57c500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.631,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked San Francisco Giants6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42594734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked San Francisco Giants54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014657.5%84 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…d227backed San Francisco Giants73c483.56$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c441.29$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.591,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked San Francisco Giants60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.616135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants63c400.1$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.061,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked San Francisco Giants61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448953.9%48 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants5c387.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.322,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed San Francisco Giants41c385.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15824250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants42c383.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2744643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked San Francisco Giants4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15290%0 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Philadelphia Phillies48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19517252.9%91 W · 81 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed San Francisco Giants56c365.2$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4739640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked San Francisco Giants61c360$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.650949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed San Francisco Giants45c350.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.519248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9840348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies45c320.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5160941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants69c308.07$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.681,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6981657.1%466 W · 350 L-2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Philadelphia Phillies38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1867143.7%31 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed San Francisco Giants52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Philadelphia Phillies40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0516232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants4c295.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8197050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies37c292.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.581,15342.8%494 W · 659 L-37.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed San Francisco Giants59c284$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6579049.2%389 W · 401 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked San Francisco Giants44c280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.241549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed San Francisco Giants67c269.86$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8187552.7%461 W · 414 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Philadelphia Phillies27c266.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.599744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Philadelphia Phillies22c264.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7333515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked San Francisco Giants8c258$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7210215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked San Francisco Giants66c250.14$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6438768.5%265 W · 122 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Philadelphia Phillies59c244.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4620258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Philadelphia Phillies43c244.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3350337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.848354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked San Francisco Giants42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c231.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.061,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb56…7edabacked San Francisco Giants63c229.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.291090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13e1…7e55backed San Francisco Giants67c219.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.394355.8%24 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Philadelphia Phillies69c211.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6726962.1%167 W · 102 L+44.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c209$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9853261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants42c205.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5168846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked San Francisco Giants44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8735446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8241152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed San Francisco Giants44c185.71$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8137941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Philadelphia Phillies57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7895555.2%527 W · 428 L+30.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked San Francisco Giants42c171.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7259243.2%256 W · 336 L-2.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants64c166.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.331,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked San Francisco Giants44c160.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7833241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked San Francisco Giants55c158.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9349942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.