MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d835afd598e875ff0b135230e4510b9cb5d72709b2820a1f09cb31e44d8e86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 66c | 5,076$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.95 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 34c | 5,060$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 52c | 4,162$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 24c | 3,907$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Orioles | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.69 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Rays | 77c | 2,328$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.89 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 48c | 2,063$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.83 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rays | 49c | 1,953$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.03 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 48c | 1,905$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.84 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,900$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 51c | 1,789$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rays | 48c | 1,777$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.98 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 1c | 1,283$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Rays | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.82 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 3c | 957$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 49c | 899.96$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Rays | 49c | 841.47$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.15 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 48c | 821.34$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.81 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Orioles | 29c | 621.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Orioles | 8c | 606.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 16c | 591.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 49c | 517.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 23c | 450$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Rays | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rays | 79c | 418.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 29c | 409$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rays | 64c | 340$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…4e05backed Rays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…2bc1backed Orioles | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 46c | 291.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 79c | 275.79$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 49c | 228.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 27c | 218.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 69c | 199.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Rays | 51c | 197.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Orioles | 23c | 180.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Orioles | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 48c | 173.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 25c | 159.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 49c | 141.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 15c | 136.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Rays | 49c | 133.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Orioles | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 20c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Rays | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Rays | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 50c | 114.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Rays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 50c | 100.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…7c97backed Rays | 51c | 68.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rays | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Rays | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Orioles | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Rays | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Rays | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 51c | 44.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Rays | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Rays | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Rays | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Rays | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Orioles | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a04fbacked Orioles | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Orioles | 51c | 39.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Rays | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Rays | 79c | 37.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Rays | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…bed1backed Orioles | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Orioles | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…c9c8backed Rays | 80c | 25.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rays | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rays | 48c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rays | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…374cbacked Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…02d9backed Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…0fefbacked Orioles | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.