MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13988997d2b7e3dfbb544d2a8a2c97f8c0c63e5b6cde0d1436c8ecfb7654e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Dodgers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Dodgers | 53c | 11,599$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfccb…6178backed Royals | 40c | 9,998$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…db7abacked Dodgers | 60c | 9,997$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Royals | 42c | 9,819$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 48c | 8,715$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 53c | 6,455$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 46c | 5,461$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 3,700$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 54c | 3,363$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 41c | 3,058$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.04 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 60c | 2,718$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.97 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 41c | 2,251$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.07 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 2,171$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dodgers | 47c | 2,093$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.81 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…47acbacked Royals | 39c | 1,872$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 50c | 1,703$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,522$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.97 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Royals | 53c | 1,381$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.76 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 47c | 1,117$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.94 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 3c | 1,068$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…d35bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 943$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…d88bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 929$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Dodgers | 2c | 889.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 59c | 883.83$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 30c | 834.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…077cbacked Royals | 41c | 759.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 711.93$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 56c | 687.06$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.86 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Dodgers | 6c | 618.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 39c | 586.76$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Dodgers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Dodgers | 41c | 489.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 50c | 470$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…8234backed Dodgers | 55c | 416.13$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dodgers | 60c | 385$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers | 29c | 360$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…c14abacked Dodgers | 3c | 359.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 24c | 340$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 68c | 339.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Royals | 41c | 325.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 67c | 311.94$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Dodgers | 52c | 305$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 41c | 291.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Dodgers | 59c | 252$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 40c | 249.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 53c | 248$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Dodgers | 9c | 215.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 68c | 209.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Dodgers | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers | 55c | 198.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f924backed Dodgers | 58c | 189.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Dodgers | 59c | 172.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 41c | 142.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Royals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 40c | 110.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Royals | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Dodgers | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Dodgers | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Dodgers | 35c | 100.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Royals | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Dodgers | 46c | 98.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Royals | 75c | 97.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Dodgers | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 40c | 84.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Royals | 46c | 84.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Royals | 40c | 80.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Dodgers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Dodgers | 57c | 68.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Dodgers | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Dodgers | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Dodgers | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Dodgers | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…c588backed Dodgers | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Dodgers | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Royals | 51c | 50.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Royals | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 40c | 46.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…ee95backed Royals | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 48c | 45.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Dodgers | 60c | 39.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.