Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marketa Vondrousova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5da92a4ab3e4fd2efc214b0b3bc018f4ad3351bc22105500ee004b7650d7908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vondrousovaof Rybakina, Vondrousova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Vondrousova | 34c | 11,568$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.09 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Rybakina | 36c | 7,169$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rybakina | 64c | 6,364$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.29 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rybakina | 66c | 5,000$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.95 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Rybakina | 70c | 3,352$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.49 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Rybakina | 36c | 3,255$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.12 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Rybakina | 40c | 2,705$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.72 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Vondrousova | 30c | 2,486$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.82 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Vondrousova | 30c | 2,288$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.32 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rybakina | 65c | 1,989$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.4 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Rybakina | 72c | 1,500$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.22 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Vondrousova | 45c | 1,456$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.98 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Vondrousova | 31c | 1,250$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Rybakina | 38c | 1,210$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Vondrousova | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Vondrousova | 28c | 1,023$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.62 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Rybakina | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rybakina | 69c | 984.71$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.45 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rybakina | 36c | 961.16$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Vondrousova | 29c | 953.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.08 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rybakina | 70c | 764.23$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Rybakina | 56c | 756.16$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Rybakina | 67c | 640$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rybakina | 41c | 609.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Vondrousova | 29c | 600$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.22 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Vondrousova | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Rybakina | 58c | 591.28$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.94 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Vondrousova | 44c | 547.5$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.76 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vondrousova | 43c | 511.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Vondrousova | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vondrousova | 30c | 490.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rybakina | 60c | 486.64$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Rybakina | 34c | 444$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rybakina | 53c | 434.05$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Vondrousova | 55c | 429.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.52 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rybakina | 48c | 418.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Vondrousova | 32c | 352$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Vondrousova | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Vondrousova | 34c | 289.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Vondrousova | 35c | 289.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vondrousova | 29c | 267.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Rybakina | 42c | 238.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Rybakina | 38c | 207.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Rybakina | 37c | 194.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rybakina | 63c | 158.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Rybakina | 40c | 152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Vondrousova | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vondrousova | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rybakina | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Rybakina | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Rybakina | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…9c10backed Rybakina | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Rybakina | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Vondrousova | 58c | 133.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Vondrousova | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…657ebacked Rybakina | 43c | 133.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Vondrousova | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Rybakina | 48c | 122.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…a17cbacked Rybakina | 38c | 116.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Rybakina | 71c | 114.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rybakina | 72c | 108.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Rybakina | 71c | 106.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Rybakina | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rybakina | 62c | 99.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rybakina | 72c | 97.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…10d3backed Rybakina | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rybakina | 65c | 89.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4d8ebacked Rybakina | 69c | 82.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Rybakina | 69c | 72.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Rybakina | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Vondrousova | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Vondrousova | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rybakina | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Rybakina | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Rybakina | 37c | 53.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Rybakina | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Vondrousova | 32c | 47.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Rybakina | 38c | 46.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rybakina | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rybakina | 46c | 38.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…acfcbacked Vondrousova | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Vondrousova | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…43a2backed Rybakina | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Rybakina | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Rybakina | 71c | 17.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…f6a6backed Vondrousova | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.