TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Braves, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Royals54c33,088$18,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,084.0928646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Braves47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Braves43c6,180$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.4654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves42c5,728$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.5925551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Royals58c5,395$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.7941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Braves36c3,781$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.0638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Braves51c3,517$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Braves51c2,309$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.7819239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d5…88c7backed Royals52c2,168$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.112356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves47c2,115$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.171,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves44c2,090$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.882,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves31c1,713$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.776,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals54c1,622$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.6636047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Royals58c1,571$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66086751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Braves45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67538249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…c483backed Royals56c1,466$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Royals53c1,389$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.74252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves44c1,377$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.855,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6189…1416backed Braves44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…6bdebacked Braves44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Braves48c1,188$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.2439056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x130f…836bbacked Royals56c934$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.96887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+92.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Braves43c887.03$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0732042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Braves36c802.98$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3412037.5%45 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Royals51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3436243.5%27 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Braves49c680.67$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves47c636.17$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals60c624.78$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.199,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Braves43c584.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Royals63c580.97$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Royals52c577.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Royals53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.043740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b6…3263backed Royals57c524.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Royals55c520$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23414649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves19c508.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.711,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226d…f49ebacked Braves50c490$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Royals57c422.88$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.131547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef35…121fbacked Royals54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1843450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18831347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Royals53c386.43$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6228053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Royals58c384.68$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.612868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Royals53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Royals54c378.28$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0124253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Braves46c374.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1749250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Royals55c374.13$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3643247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Royals58c362.26$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2511963.9%76 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Braves44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Royals58c349.87$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6632754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a1…1467backed Braves27c349.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.817328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Braves52c336$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.168253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Braves47c308.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4111560%69 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Braves49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Royals55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Braves50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Braves46c282.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Royals51c264.65$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Braves44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…e5f7backed Royals55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Braves47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.119550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Braves44c202.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.317139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Royals53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f4…8894backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf46…d661backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…4508backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e1…51d0backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…3468backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4858…0e39backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133c…9c2fbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924050%20 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d4…9d72backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…a812backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce0b…a16fbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f34…d5f7backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e60…9d17backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4258…2612backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925538.2%21 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5936…4c34backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925250%26 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…ca51backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…af2cbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…1e7abacked Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0900…ced0backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe96b…3394backed Braves46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925062%31 W · 19 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x144b…199ebacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa09e…0883backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fd…1753backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…70c6backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.