Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b36d1e468aa4fdb38733e8f967c4285faea7786a46025b0551c007dcf5ef1d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Tiafoe, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Humbert | 43c | 44,025$18,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,897.56 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tiafoe | 57c | 32,564$18,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,002.61 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Tiafoe | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Humbert | 41c | 6,541$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.63 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Tiafoe | 57c | 5,491$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.25 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Tiafoe | 50c | 4,718$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.22 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Humbert | 41c | 3,732$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.88 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Tiafoe | 56c | 3,493$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Humbert | 24c | 2,649$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.71 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Humbert | 38c | 2,149$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Humbert | 61c | 2,030$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.67 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Humbert | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Tiafoe | 60c | 1,433$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.33 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Tiafoe | 58c | 1,237$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.58 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Humbert | 11c | 1,200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tiafoe | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Humbert | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tiafoe | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Humbert | 41c | 675$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Tiafoe | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Humbert | 41c | 516.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Humbert | 25c | 488.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Tiafoe | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Tiafoe | 54c | 298.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Humbert | 41c | 287.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tiafoe | 59c | 266.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Tiafoe | 57c | 261.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Humbert | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Humbert | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Humbert | 27c | 236.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Tiafoe | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Humbert | 42c | 205$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Tiafoe | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tiafoe | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Tiafoe | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Tiafoe | 61c | 142.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Tiafoe | 59c | 138.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Tiafoe | 78c | 127.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Tiafoe | 60c | 101.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Tiafoe | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…f896backed Humbert | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…facbbacked Tiafoe | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Tiafoe | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Tiafoe | 53c | 56.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Tiafoe | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Tiafoe | 48c | 45.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tiafoe | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.