Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b25ce9664859b0dc619b0f13e224908201aa620f3a584a25283b74cb95aac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Musetti | 77c | 26,836$20,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.49 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Perricard | 35c | 17,471$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.93 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Perricard | 33c | 9,071$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Musetti | 70c | 7,530$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Perricard | 4c | 6,433$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Perricard | 33c | 5,204$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.48 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Perricard | 30c | 3,965$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Musetti | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Musetti | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Perricard | 45c | 1,558$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Musetti | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Musetti | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Perricard | 10c | 1,397$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Perricard | 33c | 1,014$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.05 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Perricard | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Perricard | 45c | 966.12$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.22 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Musetti | 68c | 869$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Musetti | 71c | 642.86$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Perricard | 39c | 599.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Perricard | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Musetti | 74c | 537.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Perricard | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Perricard | 45c | 443.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Perricard | 48c | 435.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Perricard | 13c | 409.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Perricard | 36c | 352.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Perricard | 49c | 345.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…79c7backed Perricard | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Musetti | 67c | 302.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Musetti | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Perricard | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Perricard | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…6519backed Musetti | 71c | 285.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti | 63c | 283.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Perricard | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Perricard | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Musetti | 68c | 269.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Musetti | 65c | 231.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Perricard | 32c | 150.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Musetti | 64c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Musetti | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Musetti | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Musetti | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Musetti | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Musetti | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Musetti | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Musetti | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…7be3backed Musetti | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Musetti | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Musetti | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Perricard | 33c | 65.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Perricard | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked Musetti | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…3699backed Musetti | 67c | 56.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Musetti | 65c | 53.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Musetti | 70c | 51.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…c81abacked Musetti | 71c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Perricard | 30c | 42.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…b83fbacked Perricard | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…1f6cbacked Musetti | 73c | 40.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Musetti | 73c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Perricard | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Perricard | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Musetti | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0ccabacked Musetti | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…db2bbacked Musetti | 71c | 29.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Musetti | 72c | 28.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Musetti | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…869abacked Musetti | 73c | 28.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…d768backed Musetti | 71c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…38eabacked Musetti | 71c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Musetti | 72c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f88…fc5fbacked Musetti | 74c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.