Tennis · resolved market

ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Cobolli

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ee0c4a5e3e7661c9502a58d06dd7e141700f0ad4f375c918ce4544b502be72

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Atmaneof Atmane, Cobolli
Resolved: Aug 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ef4…412cbacked Cobolli	75c	65,000$48,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,750	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Atmane	25c	55,724$13,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,793	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Atmane	34c	18,516$6,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,296.72	178	33.1%59 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Cobolli	76c	6,960$5,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,275.4	669	49.6%332 W · 337 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Atmane	25c	5,146$1,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,844.45	321	41.1%132 W · 189 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa421…8c83backed Cobolli	59c	4,252$2,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,516.09	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-51%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Cobolli	62c	3,554$2,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,191.82	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atmane	30c	1,770$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.11	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Atmane	24c	1,659$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.46	627	42.4%266 W · 361 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Atmane	56c	1,397$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.72	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Atmane	37c	1,144$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.51	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Atmane	19c	1,123$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.32	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Atmane	25c	930$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.5	296	36.8%109 W · 187 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Atmane	23c	797.56$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.82	951	40.1%381 W · 570 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Cobolli	73c	740.83$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.26	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atmane	40c	650.96$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.06	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Cobolli	76c	500$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	252	44.4%112 W · 140 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Cobolli	74c	484.31$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.39	106	54.7%58 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1a…7241backed Cobolli	75c	400$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…db3abacked Cobolli	53c	390.23$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.82	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Atmane	26c	384.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.62	480	43.3%208 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Atmane	26c	384.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.62	639	42.4%271 W · 368 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Cobolli	67c	350$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.5	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Cobolli	49c	328.02$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.01	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Cobolli	73c	300$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Atmane	26c	300$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	284	51.1%145 W · 139 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Atmane	25c	293.33$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Atmane	40c	284.78$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.67	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…e5f7backed Cobolli	77c	260.79$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Cobolli	75c	230$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.5	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Atmane	23c	200$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	119	27.7%33 W · 86 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Atmane	24c	199.95$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.96	204	31.4%64 W · 140 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Cobolli	75c	186.67$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	383	56.9%218 W · 165 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Atmane	37c	160.41$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.41	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Cobolli	78c	157.56$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cobolli	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	731	47.9%350 W · 381 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Cobolli	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Cobolli	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	321	61.7%198 W · 123 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2adc…8f9abacked Cobolli	76c	92.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	64	64.1%41 W · 23 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	71cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Atmane	40c	85.24$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.18	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Atmane	23c	74$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.98	1,489	32.6%486 W · 1,003 L	+22.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Atmane	26c	64.73$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.9	127	37.8%48 W · 79 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Cobolli	77c	64.07$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.21	2,335	46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Atmane	40c	60.17$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f7…facbbacked Cobolli	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca8…3e59backed Cobolli	76c	59.56$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fb…2b2abacked Atmane	45c	44.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	44	75%33 W · 11 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Cobolli	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2437…3906backed Cobolli	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec00…f896backed Cobolli	54c	36.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Cobolli	75c	33.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…b83fbacked Cobolli	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.9wins	-0.48per pick	65cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Atmane	42c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Cobolli

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market