Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1dfae75bb2d3585af990f213ae7ad89a8b986c3a936f51e2627703afd4a1005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Zverev | 43c | 6,100$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.99 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Popyrin | 27c | 5,293$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.32 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Popyrin | 27c | 5,251$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.24 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Popyrin | 36c | 5,224$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.02 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Zverev | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Popyrin | 55c | 4,520$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.92 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Zverev | 74c | 4,491$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.09 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Zverev | 73c | 2,490$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.41 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Zverev | 59c | 1,850$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.56 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Zverev | 73c | 1,440$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.73 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Zverev | 47c | 1,403$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.37 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Popyrin | 24c | 1,380$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.33 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Zverev | 51c | 1,296$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.24 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Popyrin | 27c | 1,290$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Popyrin | 3c | 1,014$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Popyrin | 27c | 972.07$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Popyrin | 42c | 840.2$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Zverev | 73c | 731.08$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Popyrin | 28c | 655.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Zverev | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Zverev | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Zverev | 46c | 535$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Popyrin | 28c | 525.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Zverev | 47c | 505.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Zverev | 73c | 491$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Zverev | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Popyrin | 57c | 470.69$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Zverev | 65c | 462.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Zverev | 72c | 412.49$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Popyrin | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Popyrin | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Zverev | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Zverev | 65c | 327.1$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zverev | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Zverev | 73c | 273.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Zverev | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Popyrin | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Popyrin | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Zverev | 49c | 227.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…14fcbacked Zverev | 74c | 218.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Zverev | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Zverev | 56c | 215.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Zverev | 65c | 197.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…f080backed Popyrin | 7c | 187.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Zverev | 65c | 174.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Zverev | 66c | 174.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Zverev | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Zverev | 79c | 160.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Zverev | 49c | 152$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6be0backed Popyrin | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Zverev | 74c | 145.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Zverev | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Popyrin | 10c | 138.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Popyrin | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Zverev | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Zverev | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Popyrin | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Zverev | 75c | 90.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Popyrin | 44c | 81.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Popyrin | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Popyrin | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…facbbacked Zverev | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Zverev | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Popyrin | 25c | 42.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zverev | 54c | 41.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Zverev | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Zverev | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Zverev | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Zverev | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Zverev | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Zverev | 75c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Zverev | 75c | 22.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked Zverev | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.