Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6393b647d8d6b86dc7ac1672d8b264e2a78f9179bd69878bf5a08b8ab094c7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Khachanov, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Royer | 22c | 5,540$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.07 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Khachanov | 78c | 2,736$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royer | 14c | 2,367$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Royer | 23c | 1,570$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Khachanov | 80c | 1,510$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.16 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royer | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Royer | 15c | 1,300$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Royer | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Khachanov | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Royer | 15c | 932.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Khachanov | 77c | 896.6$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royer | 14c | 681.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Khachanov | 77c | 550$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Khachanov | 77c | 433$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royer | 25c | 402$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Khachanov | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Khachanov | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Royer | 19c | 274.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Royer | 21c | 263.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Khachanov | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Khachanov | 80c | 250.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Khachanov | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Khachanov | 78c | 177.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Khachanov | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Khachanov | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royer | 21c | 120.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Khachanov | 79c | 99.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royer | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Royer | 23c | 85.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Khachanov | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Khachanov | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Khachanov | 79c | 41.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Khachanov | 76c | 35.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Khachanov | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.