MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a77f21bd0bfbcbcb29c94322cc81b1071e0bd519dd66636dc08ab04df103d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Cubs | 45c | 100,302$45,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,135.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 55c | 38,370$21,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,273.1 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 25,708$14,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,568.43 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 55c | 16,800$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 37c | 15,480$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,677.35 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 60c | 9,194$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 55c | 7,362$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.28 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 33c | 7,195$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 5,069$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 58c | 3,964$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Red Sox | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Red Sox | 36c | 2,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.98 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,780$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.85 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,648$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Cubs | 45c | 2,158$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.9 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 20c | 2,091$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.08 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.2 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.8 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cubs | 52c | 1,351$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.24 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Red Sox | 33c | 1,223$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.36 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox | 32c | 1,088$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.38 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Cubs | 5c | 1,028$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 56c | 817.86$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.86 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 55c | 799.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.13 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 44c | 776.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 735.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 68c | 709$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 44c | 664$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 48c | 618.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Red Sox | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cubs | 43c | 531$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Cubs | 45c | 526.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Cubs | 44c | 451.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 63c | 432.42$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cubs | 44c | 429.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 53c | 405.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 44c | 397.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 44c | 344$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Red Sox | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…a801backed Cubs | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Cubs | 60c | 252.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Cubs | 46c | 251.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cubs | 43c | 231.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Cubs | 45c | 222.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 6c | 213$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 5c | 210.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 207.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Red Sox | 35c | 205.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…7684backed Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…f9ccbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…5e3bbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…7e4fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…87efbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…45eabacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…3604backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…4f0cbacked Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…324cbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…408cbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…60acbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…cccebacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…f7bebacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…800bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…b301backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…4ff0backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad1…1c56backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…5c6bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…dd09backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…914bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.