Chess · resolved market
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79aa8c9f04f6ac95eb0f7e0cbb89a384e52a828fb0c563cbd43b4c4ada06a2ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 18c | 7,701$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 13c | 6,273$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.73 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 13c | 5,433$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.49 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 14c | 4,197$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,788$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…d258backed Yes | 19c | 3,451$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6292backed Yes | 16c | 2,767$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.89 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,506$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 16c | 1,596$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed Yes | 19c | 1,511$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 19c | 1,190$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 14c | 1,130$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…9580backed Yes | 18c | 1,128$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed Yes | 15c | 1,064$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 1,033$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 917$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…6088backed Yes | 9c | 879.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…eee5backed Yes | 16c | 842.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…ee37backed Yes | 11c | 826.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…e786backed Yes | 18c | 823.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 16c | 797.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes | 16c | 769.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…179cbacked Yes | 9c | 733.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…45b9backed Yes | 18c | 730$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…3873backed Yes | 15c | 689.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked Yes | 17c | 668.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b3…1ddfbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 18c | 619.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…f3cbbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Yes | 19c | 567.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 18c | 549.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…9b43backed Yes | 20c | 510.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…b09cbacked Yes | 21c | 484.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cd…446abacked Yes | 14c | 463$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 18c | 454.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…623bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…d6c4backed Yes | 16c | 398.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…3911backed Yes | 15c | 375.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…c306backed Yes | 19c | 368.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 16c | 307.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 15c | 303$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…c7bfbacked Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 293$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…57dbbacked Yes | 17c | 262.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…65eebacked Yes | 15c | 260.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…7543backed Yes | 21c | 256.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 15c | 244.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 234.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…ae8ebacked Yes | 18c | 219.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…eaf1backed Yes | 14c | 213.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2646…d4c2backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…73b8backed Yes | 15c | 198.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d2…8cb8backed Yes | 9c | 190.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Yes | 16c | 190$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…5b41backed Yes | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 15c | 189.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 12c | 188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 186.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 18c | 183.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed Yes | 17c | 168$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…4a1ebacked Yes | 18c | 167.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d2…3d8ebacked Yes | 14c | 163.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…705ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…c514backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 15c | 155.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83e…4f88backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…631fbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…4f6cbacked Yes | 8c | 147.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…71a2backed Yes | 19c | 141.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…9dd7backed Yes | 15c | 135.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da0…cc9cbacked Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…c837backed Yes | 18c | 134.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…1cf6backed Yes | 16c | 130.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a728backed Yes | 19c | 130.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe15a…9854backed Yes | 15c | 129.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa42…b9ebbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…c278backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…1297backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…2fc7backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…e185backed Yes | 9c | 116.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…c6ffbacked Yes | 17c | 114.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…2122backed Yes | 19c | 112.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…50f3backed Yes | 21c | 111.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…57f2backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 18c | 109.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…7975backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…300ebacked Yes | 23c | 105.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 19c | 104.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…0ee2backed Yes | 17c | 101.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.