Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdede15b0d928183e3f19ada8e1b9a97ff8d9e2fcd391349b70784251aba6bcfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 45c | 3,624$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.54 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 54c | 3,169$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.88 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 46c | 1,534$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.83 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 1,458$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.78 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Over | 60c | 1,171$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.72 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 1,130$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.61 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 55c | 999.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Under | 43c | 851.49$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.38 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 844.92$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.34 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 561.11$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 497.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.64 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 69c | 470.22$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 460.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 47c | 443.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 58c | 308.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 54c | 265.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 62c | 214.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 16c | 195.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 41c | 180.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed Over | 69c | 161.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Under | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 46c | 123.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 45c | 118.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 46c | 116.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 36c | 114.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 48c | 101.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 46c | 100.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Over | 66c | 80.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 53c | 74.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 73.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 27c | 71.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 45c | 63.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 56.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 53.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 36c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Over | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc1…9561backed Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Under | 43c | 33.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 34c | 32.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 39c | 28.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955e…1782backed Over | 45c | 27.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 59c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814b…2fa1backed Under | 47c | 24.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.