Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b49926d11c1698d2b175060d49cbe5cc19ba0dc291a02f491640b71f0f56fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 4,692$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.95 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 78c | 4,130$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,939$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,330$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 77c | 1,310$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 13c | 934.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 647.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 611.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 78c | 386.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 26c | 379.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 77c | 354.89$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 13c | 280.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 75c | 234.12$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 76c | 208.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…5cb5backed Over | 78c | 149.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 24c | 130.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 118$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 69.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Under | 25c | 68.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Under | 24c | 66.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…5024backed Over | 76c | 65.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 26c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 24c | 45.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 77c | 37.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 77c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 76c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 78c | 12.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.