TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over52c32,013$16,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,644.113961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under54c7,112$3,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.633336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over54c6,006$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2392138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0803354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Over50c3,976$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c3,885$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.3862652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a9…b878backed Under48c3,080$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,969$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.485,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,883$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.471,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c2,853$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.291330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x222c…0772backed Under48c2,773$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Over52c2,322$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.997837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c1,960$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.6296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c1,850$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.61,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Under48c1,815$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under50c1,490$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.813735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x302d…6fe1backed Over61c1,355$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6244946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6243745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over60c1,189$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.410228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,039$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.312,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over23c955.16$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6410436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over30c843.92$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514040%16 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over61c800.96$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5316350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under46c600$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6423927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over55c548.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2658445.2%38 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c458.94$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c441.51$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6927540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c435.5$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.436354%34 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c411.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2083554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over46c376.61$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.242744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c345.08$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.195345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under48c281.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.252661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under50c263.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.972065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over53c247.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over54c246.7$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.113836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c240$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.410650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over45c222.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+52.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under48c207.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.794100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003020%6 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over51c204.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.084252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over53c202.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.543148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under47c199.83$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.911136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e2…89a5backed Over32c193.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9616454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.612147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.66048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.64744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over70c162.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146055%33 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.28946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.510945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c144$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.889744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.811238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over48c133.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.824042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under11c125$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7513140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c123.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.277455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…a09abacked Over35c119.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over53c117.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over61c114.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.064546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013743.8%60 W · 77 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under42c108.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.662744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254e…1c40backed Over13c102.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c100.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.173345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5215035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c88.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.651,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011661.2%71 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…9d8bbacked Over32c87.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over35c87.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.614349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74a…9780backed Over14c77.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under48c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.526152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under48c75.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.328156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Under48c74.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Under48c74.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under48c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.447548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.364447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.366349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.363545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over50c67.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.986848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d6…04cbbacked Over53c67.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.