Other European Leagues · resolved market
Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956c18348f0356d5bcf90eff6e51c8339c904d49e8a59a8bf1aa4c0ae22ab79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 5,422$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 78c | 3,778$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 1,261$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 889.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 77c | 853.97$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 461.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 77c | 434.71$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 252.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 220$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 23c | 199$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…768cbacked Over | 77c | 177.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 149.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 32c | 129.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 78c | 128.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 80c | 115.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 109.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 23c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…8d6ebacked Under | 23c | 60.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 22c | 59.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…85a2backed Under | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Under | 23c | 43.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Under | 29c | 40.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Over | 72c | 30.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 71c | 29.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…84aebacked Over | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.