South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236e22cc48065d897a3d1e40985e743a06779d87229ea468b737dd9c3400d5c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,241$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.55 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 7c | 1,239$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 50c | 398.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 363.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 53c | 206.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 32c | 139$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 77.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 62.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 32c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Over | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 62c | 54.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 67c | 26.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.