Champions League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf87f8f5f7b80c13dd4d807807bf0526de8d29545000c80e51906b12bc655ca72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 1,146$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 14c | 606.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 600.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 77c | 170$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 77c | 136.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Over | 80c | 125.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…bfefbacked Under | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…bcd0backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 85.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 77c | 49.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 78c | 38.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.