Champions League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe5fe6eaaadc4e0332dfcd60620dff80a619dcfb3a640f91577ca23e6d0503b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,472$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,017$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.58 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 61c | 955.57$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.91 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 562.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 388$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 44c | 327.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 172.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked No | 47c | 171.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 96.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed No | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 58.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078b…a9afbacked No | 39c | 37.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…b225backed Yes | 62c | 37.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 32.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 57c | 27.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.