Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7cf80c1ecbdf43c0d9c25385de3a838e1345c82473e1ad4f498811a825c843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 6,391$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 11c | 4,999$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…8191backed Over | 79c | 924.09$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 906.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 33c | 755$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 25c | 549.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 454.13$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 296.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…4593backed Over | 19c | 285.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 74c | 271.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 172.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 21c | 170$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 25c | 141$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 26c | 139$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 75c | 133.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 26c | 115$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 74c | 88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 75c | 81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 63c | 62.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 75c | 62.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 21c | 61.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…2918backed Under | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 25c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 53c | 45.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…bc26backed Over | 75c | 40.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 75c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 69cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…b899backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e7…54c9backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…d82bbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…93c0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.