Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91650c5996a63d613915d4101f08498bbfb1ef6803cbf335c2d4d58283ef2c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 52c | 9,231$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 8,302$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 6,654$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.9 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 51c | 4,958$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.2 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 49c | 2,113$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,041$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.03 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 27c | 1,249$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Over | 5c | 851.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Over | 49c | 699.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 4c | 577.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 504.08$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 480.77$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Over | 4c | 462.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Over | 48c | 240.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 26c | 203$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Under | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 104.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…faf9backed Over | 49c | 60.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 60.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2678…c30cbacked Under | 52c | 52.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 49c | 50.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…f2a3backed Over | 49c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…7935backed Under | 52c | 34.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 48c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ce…71debacked Over | 49c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Under | 80c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.