Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d2d0d538b3f5849ca292fe7eb638805e402bd55cc271a25e05b3b2a4e585a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 6,342$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 58c | 3,111$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 54c | 2,351$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.52 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 1,103$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.92 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 810.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 780$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 46c | 605.15$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 13c | 597.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.93 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 323.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 54c | 278.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 45c | 222.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 214.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 54c | 115.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 53c | 106.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 47c | 88.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Yes | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 43c | 68.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…4ed9backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 44.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 46c | 39.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 54c | 36.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.