Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe16135447c4c3e96a0449d90b79aa55fd451acd8e25779a25ba7a92833038b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 6,882$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 2,797$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.1 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 2,667$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 1,184$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.92 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 42c | 1,054$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.74 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 999.93$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 73c | 652.9$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 73c | 612.23$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Over | 14c | 611.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 535.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.68 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 465.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 48c | 463.9$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Over | 71c | 384.61$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 41c | 360$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Under | 75c | 250.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 36c | 247.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 42c | 241.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 57c | 229.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 44c | 227.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 205.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 42c | 199.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 57c | 187.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 55c | 181.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 171.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 70c | 171.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Over | 41c | 169.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 38c | 131.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 41c | 117.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 36c | 110.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 56c | 89.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 69c | 87.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 57c | 82.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 55c | 82.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 35c | 58.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Over | 51c | 57.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked Under | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 50c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Over | 49c | 48.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cab…1d6cbacked Over | 27c | 47.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Over | 46c | 45.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 32c | 44.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 70c | 41.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 64c | 38.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 37c | 35.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 38c | 35.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 35.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 46c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Over | 32c | 32.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Over | 42c | 32.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked Under | 47c | 31.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Under | 65c | 28.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 74c | 24.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Under | 71c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.