Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x888d76d91719b354f56a33ca009f041f0a13b6a1543f695a3759fd90c3987152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 53c | 6,000$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.28 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,196$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 4,123$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.11 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 2,969$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 2c | 2,737$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 66c | 1,974$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.05 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 51c | 1,923$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.62 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 34c | 1,449$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 52c | 1,252$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.04 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,143$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.87 | 880 | 44.2%389 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 22c | 1,117$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 48c | 1,077$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.71 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.73 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 786.2$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.96 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…46cdbacked Yes | 66c | 781.56$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 51c | 664.77$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.27 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 66c | 624.36$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 602.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.68 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 4c | 552.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…5431backed No | 51c | 537.22$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 530.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 48c | 458.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 392.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 270 | 46.3%125 W · 145 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2bf4backed Yes | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e9…d2f9backed No | 52c | 315$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…80ddbacked No | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…5f0bbacked Yes | 48c | 307$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 67c | 298.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 272.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 543 | 49.9%271 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 248.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 50c | 237.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 48c | 207.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…2550backed No | 52c | 202$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2340…0c62backed Yes | 48c | 202$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…77b0backed No | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…6ce3backed Yes | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…9cadbacked Yes | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…426abacked No | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…5324backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…b722backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 52c | 198.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 19c | 189.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 185.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 49c | 171.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 19c | 161.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 157.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…7a56backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 125.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…29a2backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 51c | 102.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 66c | 98.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Yes | 67c | 85.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 51c | 68.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Yes | 49c | 68.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 47c | 59.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 49c | 54.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 52c | 52.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 49c | 51.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 49c | 50.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 50c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 49c | 48.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 49c | 46.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 51c | 45.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…2625backed Yes | 48c | 36.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…f9c2backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +329.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.