TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c7,569$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.851,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.0626445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c4,703$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.61,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c4,141$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.7746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over52c2,491$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.35745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,262$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.0859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c1,987$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.9810845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c1,935$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.1513151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,803$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.1239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c1,788$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9122740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over37c1,359$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.838056.3%45 W · 35 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over37c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Over51c1,077$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under50c957.88$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.9423947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under47c942.72$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.223551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Over50c910$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Over50c757.88$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over52c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.54334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c700.2$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over51c684.53$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.116830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c650$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c631.25$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.866443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c580$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over39c516.13$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2459136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c502.37$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.236253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under48c500$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2584047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c499.97$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.979445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6593…9d0ebacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed Under50c482$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013134.4%45 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over51c335.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c328$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Under50c323.35$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over51c321.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.229540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over51c304.91$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.737334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16211152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under47c266.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over29c201.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8120042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over53c187.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c160.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.110949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under47c146.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.645459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over13c139.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3527450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over22c131.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2977…a4dfbacked Over38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c127.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9841238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Under51c119.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c101.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a42…34d8backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.414852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.727454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ee3…9842backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over51c88.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.311010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over46c86.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.893253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0375…dd78backed Under46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd7…88d8backed Under79c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over54c60.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.424143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over42c59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.071540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over51c57.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.758051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under48c56.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2513246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae9…c2bbbacked Over51c50.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.56445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Under73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ee…2d43backed Under50c49.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over50c49.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6913252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over48c48.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.243060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f2…bf6bbacked Over51c43.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.