Champions League · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92dbb7abf136a99dbdbd0bf6b3e168324aba36c885f050a81b9f99f5c86a2c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 3,250$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.9 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 1,824$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 1,555$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.71 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,415$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.26 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 66c | 1,204$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 942$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 49c | 932.26$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.78 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 64c | 777.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.92 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 66c | 749.86$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked No | 60c | 724.99$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 701.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 697.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 651.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 66c | 542.37$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 54c | 493.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked No | 33c | 303.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 67c | 299.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 68c | 293.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 30c | 280.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 243.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked No | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 53c | 198.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…dc03backed No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 33c | 102.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…0503backed No | 55c | 97.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed No | 41c | 95.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…dd78backed No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 67c | 89.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 31c | 88.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…bfefbacked No | 33c | 84.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 78.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 34c | 72.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 29c | 64.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 53c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 64c | 55.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 54c | 55.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 34c | 47.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…85a2backed No | 33c | 42.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 33c | 41.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 68c | 39.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 53c | 38.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 38.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 53c | 37.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 62c | 36.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…afa8backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 34c | 35.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…78bcbacked Yes | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…081bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 66c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Yes | 69c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 67c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 65c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.