TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c15,617$6,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,897.452,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under29c10,414$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.5327247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.9615938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over55c2,941$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.42825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over38c2,689$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.238155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over71c2,550$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.4928643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over72c2,070$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.857737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,790$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c1,519$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.861,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under69c1,004$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.8161437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c847.94$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6260041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21013644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over71c729$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4110845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under28c612.64$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6640143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over39c602.72$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.666633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over31c588$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.722748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over66c526.83$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.834060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over29c429.87$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.716852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under49c408.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over71c361$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over49c273.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.594852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over54c246.8$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.531533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30e6…8d1dbacked Over40c240$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over51c239.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.492254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c228.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.243537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over73c213$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.512382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5625859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812856.3%72 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over72c179.92$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under28c165.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.245248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over73c147.55$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick65cpaid-49.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over71c139.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Over72c138.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9910256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c136.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6620042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0406…c5b3backed Over74c130$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over71c117.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0413149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under63c110.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over38c105.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.393253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over49c101.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.025940.7%24 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0211653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf764…a2a5backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under25c93.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3223947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under28c89.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over49c88.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.078252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c70.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.575058%29 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over44c63.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.648360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under55c59.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.683964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a88…832dbacked Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.429142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked Over75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+123.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c53.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.96259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.343966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over53c37.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55358.5%31 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f9a…3d32backed Over73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over64c34.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.244360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.784860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f84…0458backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x35e9…7b20backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over47c24.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over71c21.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.344143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.833378.8%26 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104065%26 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over73c18.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.14266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Over72c16.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.722962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Over72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.284153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.