Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc5c40a6e6463c86aa7c40995b0e83659d84276d6eec27f171017901ff6ba78a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 5,219$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.61 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 55c | 3,655$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,954$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.85 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 72c | 1,863$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 75c | 1,472$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 1,173$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 1,011$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 45c | 892.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 696.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 30c | 538.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 46c | 497.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 60c | 480$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 48c | 437.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 30c | 422.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 363.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 31c | 363.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 44c | 285.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 54c | 215.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 210.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 173.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 43c | 166.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 72c | 139.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 52c | 126.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Under | 40c | 121.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 33c | 118.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Under | 40c | 112.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 58c | 101.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 31c | 90.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 44c | 88.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Under | 59c | 86.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 83.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…ec0ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 47c | 52.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 46.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 55c | 45.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Under | 29c | 44.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…166abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…b84abacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 59c | 38.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…fbd4backed Under | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…d156backed Under | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 73c | 31.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 42c | 24.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Over | 57c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 70c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a3f2backed Over | 77c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.