Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf649044dfb10d528fcc0c2e19e5297e0db144f9058c6bb7f40868f024a88f059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 12,350$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 55c | 2,500$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 29c | 1,307$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.83 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,216$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.14 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 29c | 1,191$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 66c | 999.43$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.57 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…a9edbacked Over | 55c | 999$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 867.38$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 66c | 759.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 45c | 660.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 54c | 632.19$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 80c | 376.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 71c | 351.21$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Over | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over | 30c | 346.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 63c | 341.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 60c | 316.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 309.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 38c | 309.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 308.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 6c | 275.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 80c | 269.16$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 30c | 247.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 30c | 226.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 78c | 221.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 71c | 203$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 195.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 185.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Over | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 49c | 162.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 70c | 138.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 136.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 35c | 131.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 34c | 111.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 110.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…3180backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…cfa1backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…9812backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…0314backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…baa1backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…8874backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…d7cfbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1817…5f80backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…8b6abacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…e53bbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…fb2bbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…c1e1backed Over | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 96.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 90.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 72c | 88.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 41c | 85.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 71c | 84.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 27c | 82.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 29c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed Under | 36c | 74.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 71.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 52c | 71.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 36c | 70.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 30c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Over | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…79e1backed Under | 68c | 59.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 34c | 55.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 47.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 32c | 46.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Over | 67c | 44.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c4ecbacked Under | 49c | 31.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 66c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 61c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Under | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 65c | 16.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.