Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90799760acceb5b2b72fc4a6f5d7643d502c2575e8e5e5b04b4497311f603a07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 30,855$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,920.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 72c | 13,906$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 60c | 9,999$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 28c | 6,678$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.43 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 53c | 6,647$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.09 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 71c | 3,743$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.45 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 60c | 3,683$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 29c | 1,518$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 1,457$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.37 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 71c | 1,438$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 53c | 1,267$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 71c | 1,241$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.89 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 72c | 1,100$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 923.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.87 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf7…056cbacked Over | 73c | 767.53$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 628.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 547.69$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 442.21$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 29c | 427.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 58c | 417.81$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.81 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 378$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 369.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 28c | 263.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 59c | 255.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 71c | 200.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 9c | 186.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 55c | 179.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 71c | 171.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 29c | 148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 71c | 138.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…0615backed Over | 75c | 134.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Over | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 87.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed Over | 75c | 83.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 74.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 31c | 65.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 55.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b63…7db5backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 35c | 45.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Over | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Over | 71c | 39.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over | 70c | 37.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 61c | 36.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 73c | 34.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 42c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 23.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…fb59backed Over | 53c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.