Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667e5fc4f40a1bfecb8e21c12bb6f7d2e98af8bfa68c6e79275e6882e803b29b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 50c | 105,929$52,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,672.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 38,465$19,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,232.74 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 52c | 32,413$16,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,855 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 48c | 15,058$7,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 14,322$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 48c | 10,300$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 8,453$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.85 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 53c | 7,553$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 6,999$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.57 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.8 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 47c | 3,412$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 51c | 3,401$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.51 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 39c | 2,586$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 2,339$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.04 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,117$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.82 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…a3b1backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 1,729$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.21 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 1,717$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.07 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 1,524$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.93 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 46c | 1,386$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,061$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.03 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.48 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 879$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.54 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 804.2$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.26 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 53c | 792.45$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 52c | 767.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Under | 49c | 716.04$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 603$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.86 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 50c | 568.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.94 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 489.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…2e5abacked Under | 62c | 453.42$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 48c | 412.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 37c | 380$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 371$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 364.27$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 50c | 349.34$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Under | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Under | 65c | 261.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 50c | 240.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 209.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 204.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 149.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Under | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 52c | 125.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.