Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1692d3fada57fd4e4f9541bf5195d5d1d39e0a310ca3119236b0d2a681180bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 67c | 2,998$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 2,625$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.52 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,036$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 696.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.18 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 28c | 480.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 72c | 471.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 351.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 29c | 246.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 16c | 220.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 192.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Over | 70c | 144.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 33c | 139.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 26c | 110.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 28c | 105.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Under | 29c | 78.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 28c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Under | 20c | 63.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…7a51backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 26c | 48.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…166abacked Over | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…1ebdbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 23.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.