Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c01ff2c155e5d68ce16d1409667c9993fb506a6125f8fe7c6c34112a5cb3947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,671$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.25 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,977$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.77 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 31c | 608.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 69c | 209$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 149.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 30c | 139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 29c | 129.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 31c | 118$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 32c | 98.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 27c | 85.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 32c | 78.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 31c | 77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Under | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Over | 33c | 45.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Over | 30c | 37.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…76f4backed Over | 32c | 34.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Under | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 69c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…78bcbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 69c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…a90fbacked Under | 76c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.