TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$293,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over53c125,738$67,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,495.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over52c83,000$43,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,8401662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c81,570$38,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,334.021,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c32,814$13,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,103.564,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c30,000$13,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,90024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under46c14,307$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,581.381643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c12,634$6,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,868.5826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c10,900$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.791,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under46c9,999$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.543345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c7,341$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.419743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c6,168$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.489748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under46c5,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c4,999$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.5930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c3,944$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.7415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over74c3,397$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.611586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c3,130$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4913943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3808853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4107353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under49c2,923$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.312846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c2,280$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.3920449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c2,093$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.2242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under9c2,093$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.921,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c1,506$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.533,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c1,454$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.061,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,242$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.120159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under48c679$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.143050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under48c625.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.474047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4826545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over61c490.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.775343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over54c435.19$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.193161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18818152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over60c376.63$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under48c335.83$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.027753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14135054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14114950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1474057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…afb0backed Under50c299.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.791540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e8…6001backed Over54c253.76$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.58457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under47c241.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.776847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under47c225$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7515250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over53c212.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.928732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c210.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8314647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9d…d03dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+284.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3115646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.69649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.920652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.911952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.920250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.911346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.920949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under48c166$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6811736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Under9c160.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.521051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.519951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over70c142.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.35967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.419352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.49247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.418853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.419053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.49343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.415747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Over52c119.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.233638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over65c113.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0719461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under47c105.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under49c102.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.476237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.